Category Archives: Quantitative Analysis

Using Option Pain (Max Pain) to estimate stock price

While the market is sorting things out today, I’d like to document a simple stock price predictor based on put/call activity called Option Pain or Max Pain. It is widely believed that professional traders favour writing options.  Since trading options is a zero-sum game, it is in their best interest if a majority of options [...]
Posted in Quantitative Analysis | Tagged indicator, options, SLW | 1 Comment

Reward Risk of Popular Index Futures

ER2 YM ES EMD 10min ATR 2.7 32 4 2.6 Daily ATR 26 341 42 25 $ / point $100.00 $5.00 $50.00 $100.00 Reward/Risk 9.63 10.66 10.5 9.62 I’m using the intra-day ATR as a risk factor because I’m assuming them as noise. I use 10 min. as the basis because that’s about the time [...]
Also posted in Futures | Tagged EMD, er2, ES, YM | Leave a comment