I decided to look at the 20-year monthly chart once again. After all said and done in this crazy October, look where we are now. Right back to where we were, before the credit crunch, the housing bubble, the iraq invasion, 9/11, the tech bubble, and the 1998 bear. Just look at the trend line extrapolated from 1994 drawn above. Isn’t it amazing!
On Saturday, I questioned our direction for next week and noted its significance. Looking at this chart, if we go down next week, then this will very much be a new leg of a downtrend because of its significance. We haven’t broken this trendline in … 14 years! If we do break this supporting line, then I wouldn’t be surprised if we go all the way down to 650 on the S&P, the 1995 congestion zone.
As of this writing on Sunday night, the morning Asian market looks directionless at the open, Nikkei +0.4%, Hang Seng -1.6%.
I will review this chart again this weekend when it’s end of the month.
Related posts:
- 20 year S&P 500 trendline actually broken months ago
- Another reason against stocking into a registered trading account this year
- Another breakdown of a major multi-year support, are we going down, and I mean REALLY down?
- End of the 6-week rally and back with the year-long bear…today?
- A technical analysis of 80 years of S&P500


My name is Paul and I am a full-time engineer, part-time trader. Back in 2000, I deposited my $5000 interest-free student loan with an online broker. Since then, my interest in trading has become an obsession.
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[...] of the earlier popular post on this site is my view on the pre-tech-bubble trendline from before year 2000. However, that trendline was broken in October 2008 as I’ve [...]